The Feasibility of High-Speed Rail -- Short Answer

Many young folks interested in improving connectivity between metropolitan regions wonder whether high-speed trains might be the answer.  Unfortunately, fast trains are unlikely to be the solution. Here is what I wrote to a student who asked about the feasibility of high-speed rail. High-speed rail may make sense in the northeast corridor of the USA, but not elsewhere. The challenge is having enough density of origins and destinations. You need both, just like with urban transit.

A good portion of this travel market is price sensitive. This is why the new, inexpensive, bus operators are seeing strong demand for medium distance inter-city travel.

Essentially, high-speed rail is a high-cost service that only a small percentage of the market can afford. You need a large higher density corridor for that relatively small niche that can afford it to amount to enough demand to make high-speed rail work.

High-Spped Rail Corridor Designations

H. Pike Oliver

H. Pike Oliver focuses on master-planned communities. He is co-author of Transforming the Irvine Ranch: Joan Irvine, William Pereira, Ray Watson, and THE BIG PLAN, published by Routledge in 2022.

Early in his career, Pike worked for public agencies, including the California Governor's Office of Planning and Research, where he was a principal contributor to An Urban Strategy for California. For the next three decades, he was involved in master-planned development on the Irvine Ranch in Southern California, as well as other properties in western North America and abroad.

Beginning in 2009, Pike taught real estate development at Cornell University and directed the undergraduate program in Urban and Regional Studies. He relocated to Seattle in 2013 and, from 2016 to 2020, served as a lecturer in the Runstad Department of Real Estate at the University of Washington, where he also served as its chair.

Pike graduated from San Francisco State University's urban studies and planning program and received a master's degree in urban planning from UCLA. He is a member of the American Planning Association and the Urban Land Institute and a founder and emeritus member of the California Planning Roundtable.

https://urbanexus.com
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