The presidential election and place

Nov 20

The biggest geodemographic news of the 2024 U.S. presidential election is clearly highlighted by a chart Philip Bump of the Washington Post included in his How to Read This Chart column of November 9, 2024. It highlighted the shift in Democratic and Republican vote margins between 2020 to 2024 on a county-by-county basis.

There are 3,143 counties and county-equivalents in the United States. The Republican candidate improved his 2020 vote margins in more than 2,300 counties, compared with the Democratic candidate, improving 2020 margins in fewer than 300 counties.

The chart highlights that the most significant shifts toward the Republican candidate occurred in large urban counties where the White population is less than 50% of the total. These counties are represented by the large purple circles in the lower right portion of the chart.

The vote shift in large urban counties with a minority White population will likely result in significant shifts in various federal policies, especially climate change, criminal justice, defense, immigration, and public health.

H. Pike Oliver

H. Pike Oliver focuses on master-planned communities. He is co-author of Transforming the Irvine Ranch: Joan Irvine, William Pereira, Ray Watson, and THE BIG PLAN, published by Routledge in 2022.

Early in his career, Pike worked for public agencies, including the California Governor's Office of Planning and Research, where he was a principal contributor to An Urban Strategy for California. For the next three decades, he was involved in master-planned development on the Irvine Ranch in Southern California, as well as other properties in western North America and abroad.

Beginning in 2009, Pike taught real estate development at Cornell University and directed the undergraduate program in Urban and Regional Studies. He relocated to Seattle in 2013 and, from 2016 to 2020, served as a lecturer in the Runstad Department of Real Estate at the University of Washington, where he also served as its chair.

Pike graduated from San Francisco State University's urban studies and planning program and received a master's degree in urban planning from UCLA. He is a member of the American Planning Association and the Urban Land Institute and a founder and emeritus member of the California Planning Roundtable.

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The presidential election and place

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